Notes to the Fifth Edition |
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xiii | (2) |
Preface |
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xv | |
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CHAPTER 1 Psychology Is Alive and Well (and Doing Fine Among the Sciences) |
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1 | (21) |
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1 | (2) |
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THE DIVERSITY OF MODERN PSYCHOLOGY |
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3 | (3) |
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Implications of Diversity |
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3 | (3) |
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6 | (2) |
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8 | (8) |
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9 | (1) |
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Publicly Verifiable Knowledge: Replication and Peer Review |
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10 | (5) |
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Empirically Solvable Problems: Scientists' Search for Testable Theories |
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15 | (1) |
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PSYCHOLOGY AND FOLK WISDOM: THE PROBLEM WITH "COMMON SENSE" |
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16 | (3) |
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PSYCHOLOGY AS A YOUNG SCIENCE |
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19 | (2) |
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21 | (1) |
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CHAPTER 2 Falsifiability: A Discourse on How to Foil Little Green Men in the Head |
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22 | (15) |
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THEORIES AND THE FALSIFIABILITY CRITERION |
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23 | (11) |
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The Theory of Knocking Rhythms |
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24 | (1) |
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25 | (2) |
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27 | (2) |
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Not All Confirmations Are Equal |
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29 | (1) |
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Falsifiability and Folk Wisdom |
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29 | (1) |
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The Freedom to Admit a Mistake |
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30 | (2) |
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32 | (2) |
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ERRORS IN SCIENCE: GETTING CLOSER TO THE TRUTH |
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34 | (2) |
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36 | (1) |
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CHAPTER 3 Operationism and Essentialism: "But, Doctor, What Does It Really Mean?" |
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37 | (16) |
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WHY SCIENTISTS ARE NOT ESSENTIALISTS |
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37 | (6) |
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Essentialists Like to Argue About the Meaning of Words |
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38 | (2) |
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Operationists Link Concepts to Observable Events |
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40 | (1) |
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Scientific Concepts Evolve |
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41 | (2) |
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OPERATIONAL DEFINITIONS IN PSYCHOLOGY |
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43 | (8) |
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Operationism as a Humanizing Force |
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45 | (2) |
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Essentialist Questions and the Misunderstanding of Psychology |
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47 | (1) |
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Operationism and the Phrasing of Psychological Questions |
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48 | (3) |
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51 | (2) |
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CHAPTER 4 Testimonials and Case Study Evidence: Placebo Effects and the Amazing Randi |
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53 | (20) |
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STAGES OF SCIENTIFIC INVESTIGATION |
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54 | (1) |
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WHY TESTIMONIALS ARE WORTHLESS: PLACEBO EFFECTS |
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55 | (4) |
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59 | (8) |
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The Overwhelming Impact of the Single Case |
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62 | (2) |
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What to Do About the Vividness Problem |
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64 | (1) |
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The Amazing Randi: Fighting Fire with Fire |
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65 | (2) |
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TESTIMONIALS OPEN THE DOOR TO PSEUDOSCIENCE |
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67 | (4) |
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71 | (2) |
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CHAPTER 5 Correlation and Causation: Birth Control by the Toaster Method |
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73 | (11) |
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74 | (1) |
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THE THIRD-VARIABLE PROBLEM: GOLDBERGER AND PELLAGRA |
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75 | (4) |
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Why Goldberger's Evidence Was Better |
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75 | (4) |
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THE DIRECTIONALITY PROBLEM |
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79 | (1) |
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80 | (3) |
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83 | (1) |
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CHAPTER 6 Getting Things Under Control: The Case of Clever Hans |
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84 | (15) |
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85 | (1) |
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COMPARISON, CONTROL, AND MANIPULATION |
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86 | (12) |
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The Case of Clever Hans, the Wonder Horse |
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89 | (1) |
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Clever Hans in the 1990s: An Unfolding Tragedy |
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90 | (3) |
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Prying Variables Apart: Special Conditions |
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93 | (2) |
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95 | (2) |
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97 | (1) |
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98 | (1) |
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CHAPTER 7 "But It's Not Real Life!": The "Artificiality" Criticism and Psychology |
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99 | (16) |
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The "Random-Sample" Confusion |
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101 | (1) |
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Theory-Driven Research Versus Direct Applications |
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101 | (4) |
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Two Examples: Night Vision and Language Development |
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105 | (2) |
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APPLICATIONS OF PSYCHOLOGICAL THEORY |
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107 | (7) |
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The "College Sophomore" Problem |
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110 | (3) |
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The Real-Life and College Sophomore Problems in Perspective |
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113 | (1) |
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114 | (1) |
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CHAPTER 8 Avoiding the Einstein Syndrome: The Importance of Converging Evidence |
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115 | (24) |
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THE CONNECTIVITY PRINCIPLE |
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116 | (4) |
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A Consumer's Rule: Beware of Violations of Connectivity |
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117 | (1) |
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The "Great-Leap" Model and the Gradual-Synthesis Model |
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118 | (2) |
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Psychology as a Gradual-Synthesis Science |
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120 | (1) |
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120 | (10) |
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121 | (1) |
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121 | (1) |
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Converging Evidence in Psychology |
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122 | (1) |
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Dyslexia: An Example of Convergence |
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123 | (4) |
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Television Violence and Aggression: Convergence Again |
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127 | (3) |
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130 | (5) |
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Methods and the Convergence Principle |
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132 | (1) |
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The Progression to More Powerful Methods |
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133 | (2) |
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A COUNSEL AGAINST DESPAIR |
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135 | (3) |
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138 | (1) |
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CHAPTER 9 The Misguided Search for the "Magic Bullet": The Issue of Multiple Causation |
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139 | (7) |
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145 | (1) |
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CHAPTER 10 The Achilles' Heel of Human Cognition: Probabilistic Reasoning |
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146 | (16) |
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147 | (2) |
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PROBABILISTIC REASONING AND THE MISUNDERSTANDING OF PSYCHOLOGY |
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149 | (1) |
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PSYCHOLOGICAL RESEARCH ON PROBABILISTIC REASONING |
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150 | (11) |
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Insufficient Use of Probabilistic Information |
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151 | (2) |
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Inverting Conditional Probabilities |
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153 | (2) |
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Failure to Use Sample Size Information |
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155 | (1) |
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156 | (3) |
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A Further Word About Statistics and Probability |
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159 | (2) |
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161 | (1) |
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CHAPTER 11 The Role of Chance in Psychology |
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162 | (20) |
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THE TENDENCY TO TRY TO EXPLAIN CHANCE EVENTS |
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162 | (6) |
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Explaining Chance: Illusory Correlation and the Illusion of Control |
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166 | (2) |
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168 | (5) |
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168 | (3) |
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171 | (2) |
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ACCEPTING ERROR IN ORDER TO REDUCE ERROR: CLINICAL VERSUS ACTUARIAL PREDICTION |
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173 | (8) |
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181 | (1) |
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CHAPTER 12 The Rodney Dangerfield of the Sciences |
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182 | (27) |
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PSYCHOLOGY'S "IMAGE" PROBLEM |
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184 | (5) |
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Psychology and Parapsychology |
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184 | (2) |
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186 | (2) |
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188 | (1) |
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189 | (4) |
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PSYCHOLOGY AND OTHER DISCIPLINES |
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193 | (3) |
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Physicists and the Paranormal: Another Example |
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195 | (1) |
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196 | (4) |
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ISN'T EVERYONE A PSYCHOLOGIST? IMPLICIT THEORIES OF BEHAVIOR |
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200 | (2) |
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THE SOURCE OF RESISTANCE TO SCIENTIFIC PSYCHOLOGY |
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202 | (6) |
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202 | (4) |
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Moral and Philosophical Objections to Psychology |
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206 | (2) |
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208 | (1) |
References |
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209 | (20) |
Index |
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229 | |